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Rollout

Posted By: Neil Robins
Date: Tuesday, 25 August 2009, at 4:55 p.m.

In Response To: A 3 away cube? (Neil Robins)

The score (after 3 games) is: Opp 0, You 4 (match to 7 points)

Move number 48: You on roll, cube decision?

Opp	123
You	106
Position ID: 29iBAA0bdxgDBA Match ID: cAngAAAAIAAA

Alert: missed double ( -0.061)! [bad]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.726	(Money: +0.774)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.915
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.085
3.	No double	+0.854	-0.061
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.764 0.280 0.011 - 0.236 0.043 0.001 +0.726 +0.854 Standard error 0.000 0.001 0.001 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.002 Player Opp owns 2-cube 0.766 0.311 0.036 - 0.234 0.044 0.002 +1.215 +0.915 Standard error 0.000 0.002 0.001 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.003 0.003
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
12960 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 866756346 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• A 3 away cube?
  Neil Robins -- Sunday, 23 August 2009, at 8:59 a.m.
  • A 3 away cube?
    John O'Hagan -- Sunday, 23 August 2009, at 4:11 p.m.
    • A 3 away cube? (some bot content)
      Bob Koca -- Sunday, 23 August 2009, at 5:58 p.m.
  • A 3 away cube?
    neilkaz -- Sunday, 23 August 2009, at 5:10 p.m.
  • A 3 away cube?
    Stick -- Sunday, 23 August 2009, at 8:20 p.m.
    • A 3 away cube?
      Bob Koca -- Sunday, 23 August 2009, at 8:24 p.m.
      • A 3 away cube?
        Chuck Bower -- Monday, 24 August 2009, at 4:27 p.m.
        • A 3 away cube?
          Bob Koca -- Monday, 24 August 2009, at 4:49 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Neil Robins -- Tuesday, 25 August 2009, at 4:55 p.m.