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Probability Problem

Posted By: poseidon
Date: Thursday, 27 August 2009, at 8:37 p.m.

In Response To: Probability Problem (joe freedman)

If she decides to tell you what ace she has, then the probability does not change as not useful information arises. But IF you agree BEFOREHAND that she will tell you "I have an ace of spades" if she does have one, then things change.

Messages In This Thread

• Probability Problem
  poseidon -- Thursday, 27 August 2009, at 1:26 p.m.
  • Probability Problem
    misja -- Thursday, 27 August 2009, at 1:42 p.m.
    • Probability Problem
      Stick -- Thursday, 27 August 2009, at 3:31 p.m.
    • Probability Problem
      Petter Bengtsson -- Thursday, 27 August 2009, at 3:46 p.m.
  • Probability Problem
    Gregg Cattanach -- Thursday, 27 August 2009, at 3:49 p.m.
    • Probability Problem
      Bob Koca -- Thursday, 27 August 2009, at 4:19 p.m.
    • Probability Problem
      Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 27 August 2009, at 4:46 p.m.
    • Probability Problem
      Jason Lee -- Thursday, 27 August 2009, at 7:54 p.m.
  • Probability Problem
    Neil Robins -- Thursday, 27 August 2009, at 4:14 p.m.
    • Probability Problem
      Gregg Cattanach -- Thursday, 27 August 2009, at 5:37 p.m.
      • Probability Problem
        Bob Koca -- Thursday, 27 August 2009, at 5:56 p.m.
        • Probability Problem
          Gregg Cattanach -- Thursday, 27 August 2009, at 6:07 p.m.
          • Probability Problem
            Bob Koca -- Thursday, 27 August 2009, at 7:42 p.m.
            • Probability Problem
              Gregg Cattanach -- Thursday, 27 August 2009, at 8:09 p.m.
              • Probability Problem
                joe freedman -- Thursday, 27 August 2009, at 8:26 p.m.
                • Probability Problem
                  poseidon -- Thursday, 27 August 2009, at 8:37 p.m.
                • Probability Problem
                  Jason Lee -- Thursday, 27 August 2009, at 8:47 p.m.
              • Probability Problem
                Gregg Cattanach -- Friday, 28 August 2009, at 1:58 a.m.
                • Probability Problem
                  Paul Vianna -- Friday, 28 August 2009, at 2:11 a.m.
                  • Probability Problem
                    Chuck Bower -- Friday, 28 August 2009, at 4:06 p.m.
            • monte hall called this
              garyo -- Saturday, 29 August 2009, at 7:51 a.m.
  • Probability Problem
    Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 27 August 2009, at 5:16 p.m.
  • Probability Problem
    Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 27 August 2009, at 6:03 p.m.
    • Probability Problem
      Bob Koca -- Thursday, 27 August 2009, at 6:06 p.m.
      • Probability Problem
        poseidon -- Thursday, 27 August 2009, at 6:18 p.m.
  • Probability Problem
    joe freedman -- Thursday, 27 August 2009, at 6:35 p.m.
    • Probability Problem
      joe freedman -- Thursday, 27 August 2009, at 6:39 p.m.
  • Probability Problem
    Jason Lee -- Thursday, 27 August 2009, at 7:57 p.m.
  • Probability Problem
    Bob Koca -- Friday, 28 August 2009, at 2:13 a.m.
    • Probability Problem
      poseidon -- Friday, 28 August 2009, at 10:29 a.m.