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eXtreme Gammon question

Posted By: Tom Keith
Date: Saturday, 29 August 2009, at 12:55 p.m.

In Response To: eXtreme Gammon question (Timothy Chow)

Can I ask a more basic question?

Suppose I have performed rollouts of two plays, each 360 times. I have saved all 360 x 2 results. As a computer programmer, what is the best way for me to estimate the probability that the "true" value of Play 1 is greater than the "true" value of Play 2. (The "true" value being the result you would get if you did an infinite number of trials.)

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