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A Taste of what ABT Stats Could Be

Posted By: Rich Munitz
Date: Tuesday, 1 September 2009, at 9:06 p.m.

In Response To: A Taste of what ABT Stats Could Be (Christian Munk-Christensen)

Just to put things in perspective. A 2/3 win probability in match play corresponds to the following Elo difference:

11 pts: 180 Elo

9 pts: 200 Elo

7 pts: 230 Elo

5 pts: 270 Elo

The competition gets stronger as the event progresses, and after a loss the match lengths get shorter.

I suspect that in order to average a 2/3 win rate over all rounds and all flights in ABT tournaments, a player would have to have an Elo somewhere around 230 points higher than the average player in the field.

Current stats are nowhere near meaningful. It will be years before they start to converge to long term values.

Messages In This Thread

• A Taste of what ABT Stats Could Be
  Stick -- Tuesday, 1 September 2009, at 11:02 a.m.
  • A Taste of what ABT Stats Could Be
    Coolrey -- Tuesday, 1 September 2009, at 2:30 p.m.
    • A Taste of what ABT Stats Could Be
      Christian Munk-Christensen -- Tuesday, 1 September 2009, at 6:41 p.m.
      • A Taste of what ABT Stats Could Be
        Bill Riles -- Tuesday, 1 September 2009, at 6:51 p.m.
        • A Taste of what ABT Stats Could Be
          Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 1 September 2009, at 8:06 p.m.
          • A Taste of what ABT Stats Could Be
            Bill Riles -- Tuesday, 1 September 2009, at 8:37 p.m.
      • A Taste of what ABT Stats Could Be
        Rich Munitz -- Tuesday, 1 September 2009, at 9:06 p.m.