BGonline.org Forums

Rollout ..OTB..etc

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Sunday, 6 September 2009, at 4:09 a.m.

In Response To: Rd 2 scored based opening blitz cube (neilkaz)

OTB Adam took this but danced lots and was closed out and G'd for the match.

GNU 2 ply and 4 ply think this is a borderline drop/take and my experience with that in these early blitz position-types at scores like this is that the rollout will then result in a pass, noting that the trailer can play w/no G fear. OTB I felt that his was about a 1.07 pass.

The score (after 0 games) is: Adam Bennett 7, neilkaz 6 (match to 9 points)

Move number 2: neilkaz on roll, cube decision?

Adam Bennett	160
neilkaz	147
Position ID: 4PPgAUIzTvABMA Match ID: cAkgAXAAMAAA

• neilkaz doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.4838	(Money: +0.3831)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.0000
2.	Double, take	+1.0871	+0.0871
3.	No double	+0.7710	-0.2290
Proper cube action:		Double, pass
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6038 0.2931 0.0104 - 0.3962 0.1159 0.0121 +0.4838 +0.7710 Standard error 0.0015 0.0017 0.0014 - 0.0015 0.0048 0.0020 0.0044 0.0091 Player Adam Bennett owns 2-cube 0.6081 0.3031 0.0236 - 0.3919 0.1286 0.0179 +1.0871 +1.0871 Standard error 0.0020 0.0024 0.0032 - 0.0020 0.0055 0.0029 0.0130 0.0130
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1104 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 864850616 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Rd 2 scored based opening blitz cube
  neilkaz -- Saturday, 5 September 2009, at 8:23 p.m.
  • Rd 2 scored based opening blitz cube
    Brad Baker -- Saturday, 5 September 2009, at 8:52 p.m.
    • Rd 2 scored based opening blitz cube
      likesbg -- Saturday, 5 September 2009, at 9:56 p.m.
  • Rd 2 scored based opening blitz cube
    Philippe Michel -- Saturday, 5 September 2009, at 9:18 p.m.
  • Rd 2 scored based opening blitz cube
    Gustavo Goldfarb -- Saturday, 5 September 2009, at 11:25 p.m.
    • Rd 2 scored based opening blitz cube
      neilkaz -- Saturday, 5 September 2009, at 11:48 p.m.
      • Rd 2 scored based opening blitz cube
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Saturday, 5 September 2009, at 11:54 p.m.
        • Rd 2 scored based opening blitz cube
          neilkaz -- Sunday, 6 September 2009, at 12:39 a.m.
          • Rd 2 scored based opening blitz cube
            Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 6 September 2009, at 12:42 a.m.
            • Rd 2 scored based opening blitz cube
              neilkaz -- Sunday, 6 September 2009, at 12:43 a.m.
  • Rollout ..OTB..etc
    neilkaz -- Sunday, 6 September 2009, at 4:09 a.m.