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BGonline.org Forums
OTB and rollout
Posted By: neilkaz In Response To: Rd 6 Critical pay now or later 52. (neilkaz)
Date: Monday, 7 September 2009, at 3:13 a.m.
OTB I spaced and thought 55 also hit..ie 4 shots instead of 3 and that just seemed too much. Three shots all might have seemed too much and what a swing on 33 if I don't pay as it busts his board. I played safe and then blotted with 55 and was hit but saved my butt with a 4 from the roof soon leading to the pos where Joe recubed me to 8, basically for match.
The score (after 0 games) is: Joe Freedman 0, neilkaz 2 (match to 9 points)
Move number 6: neilkaz to play 25
Joe Freedman 109
neilkaz 63 Position ID: 29oBgEF35jMAAA Match ID: Qgk1AQAAEAAA
# Ply Move Equity 1 R 6/4 6/1 +0.7307
0.8529 0.1725 0.0026 - 0.1471 0.0084 0.0001 +0.7938 +0.7307 0.0013 0.0064 0.0012 - 0.0013 0.0009 0.0000 0.0037 0.0036 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 413 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 864803881 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 8/1 +0.6934 ( -0.0373)
0.8438 0.1571 0.0017 - 0.1562 0.0042 0.0001 +0.7729 +0.6934 0.0014 0.0041 0.0004 - 0.0014 0.0006 0.0000 0.0036 0.0037 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 411 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 864803881 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3 0 8/3 6/4 +0.3554 ( -0.3753) 0.7238 0.1898 0.0007 - 0.2762 0.0608 0.0009 4 0 8/6 8/3 +0.3444 ( -0.3863) 0.7168 0.1619 0.0005 - 0.2832 0.0203 0.0001 5 0 6/1 4/2 -0.1101 ( -0.8407) 0.5721 0.0941 0.0002 - 0.4279 0.0730 0.0005
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