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OTB and rollout
Posted By: neilkaz In Response To: Critical match score influenced recube action from rd 7 (neilkaz)
Date: Wednesday, 9 September 2009, at 7:54 p.m.
OTB I recubed due to the score which makes any G win enormous and basically gives Matt a dead cube. Last weekend I was determined to not be passive with the cube when behind in the match. I tried to play for ER in those situations and due what was technically correct.
The score (after 0 games) is: opp 4, ntk 1 (match to 9 points)
Move number 4: ntk on roll, cube decision?
opp 159
ntk 138 Position ID: Ys9gEAeM54ZBCA Match ID: UQkgAUAACAAA
• ntk doubles
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.3702 (Money: +0.2599) Cubeful equities: 1. Double, take +0.9092 2. Double, pass +1.0000 +0.0908 3. No double +0.8318 -0.0774 Proper cube action: Redouble, take Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player ntk owns 2-cube 0.6104 0.1380 0.0111 - 0.3896 0.0995 0.0106 +0.3702 +0.8318 Standard error 0.0025 0.0029 0.0024 - 0.0025 0.0033 0.0029 0.0062 0.0129 Player opp owns 4-cube 0.6099 0.1372 0.0148 - 0.3901 0.1025 0.0124 +0.9732 +0.9092 Standard error 0.0032 0.0034 0.0032 - 0.0032 0.0051 0.0030 0.0149 0.0162 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 563 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 865011056 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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