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Bonus Q

Posted By: Keene
Date: Wednesday, 9 September 2009, at 8:16 p.m.

In Response To: Bonus Q (Matt Cohn-Geier)

Since you didnt have 6 checkers off yet... low I reckon. But when you get there, it must be a certainty, surely!

It must be fairly calculable. Let me see... For a hit alone, its going to be... 8/36 * 24/36 * 12/36 * 11/36, and thats without considering all the doubles rolling scenarios. 1/650 ish to get hit. Then failing to escape your hit checker and all its permutations is probably around 35% - so right around 1/2000. Losing a race too... 45%? 1/3800. You are doing well!

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