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Bonus Q

Posted By: Rich Munitz
Date: Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 3:10 a.m.

In Response To: Bonus Q (Matt Cohn-Geier)

"So I should be about 99% to win, assuming the other variations are infinitesimal. But GNU has it at 98.3%. Did I go wrong somewhere?"

By my calculations, the "other variations" plus your errors in these variations add up to about 0.6%. Even more than that if you consider that 21 is a good ace in addition to 11.

Perhaps you did not factor in the likelihood of getting hit during your bearoff and then missing a double shot your opponent might be forced to leave after rolling boxes?

Messages In This Thread

• Most Discussed Checker Play Decision I Saw in Madison
  Bill Riles -- Wednesday, 9 September 2009, at 2:08 a.m.
  • Most Discussed Checker Play Decision I Saw in Madison
    Rich Munitz -- Wednesday, 9 September 2009, at 4:07 a.m.
  • Most Discussed Checker Play Decision I Saw in Madison -- OTB
    Bill Riles -- Wednesday, 9 September 2009, at 12:24 p.m.
  • Most Discussed Checker Play Decision I Saw in Madison
    Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 9 September 2009, at 3:47 p.m.
    • Most Discussed Checker Play Decision I Saw in Madison
      Bill Riles -- Wednesday, 9 September 2009, at 3:52 p.m.
      • Most Discussed Checker Play Decision I Saw in Madison
        Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 9 September 2009, at 9:35 p.m.
  • Most Discussed Checker Play Decision I Saw in Madison RO
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 9 September 2009, at 5:22 p.m.
  • Bonus Q
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 9 September 2009, at 5:25 p.m.
    • Bonus Q
      Bill Riles -- Wednesday, 9 September 2009, at 5:28 p.m.
    • Bonus Q
      jdg -- Wednesday, 9 September 2009, at 6:32 p.m.
    • Bonus Q
      Keene -- Wednesday, 9 September 2009, at 8:16 p.m.
      • Bonus Q
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 2:08 a.m.
        • Bonus Q
          Bill Riles -- Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 2:24 a.m.
          • Bonus Q
            Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 3:59 a.m.
        • Bonus Q
          Rich Munitz -- Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 3:10 a.m.
          • Bonus Q
            Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 4:25 a.m.
            • Bonus Q
              Rich Munitz -- Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 4:46 a.m.
              • Bonus Q
                Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 4:51 a.m.
        • Bonus Q
          Joe Russell -- Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 12:46 p.m.
          • Bonus Q
            Joe Russell -- Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 12:52 p.m.
          • Weekend bad beat story time
            Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 6:32 p.m.
            • Weekend bad beat story time
              Joe Russell -- Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 9:27 p.m.
    • Bonus Q
      Phil Simborg -- Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 4:08 a.m.
    • Bonus Q
      Michael Petch -- Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 5:18 a.m.