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Madison Semis..critical recube decision

Posted By: David Rockwell
Date: Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 6:03 p.m.

In Response To: Madison Semis..critical recube decision (neilkaz)

Easy take of course.

I won't be surprised if this turns out to be a technically correct redouble. Since your calculations should ignore all games where you lose a gammon, you have less downside volatility than it appears. And you have some good upside volatility when you hit and Tak enters poorly or fans. I'll say this is techincally R/T.

However, most of your opponents including this one are not going to be able to do the same ME analysis in their heads that you are doing. I am inclined to wait a turn and expect some erroneous cube actions next turn when you roll well. I think you will gain more this way than you will lose on your small number of market losing sequences.

Messages In This Thread

• Madison Semis..critical recube decision
  neilkaz -- Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 3:35 a.m.
  • Madison Semis..critical recube decision
    John O'Hagan -- Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 4:02 a.m.
  • Madison Semis..critical recube decision
    Neil Robins -- Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 5:30 a.m.
  • Madison Semis..critical recube decision
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 5:07 p.m.
  • Madison Semis..critical recube decision
    David Rockwell -- Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 6:03 p.m.
  • OTB and rollout
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 10:32 p.m.
    • Rollout had I cubed next roll when I actually had something
      neilkaz -- Friday, 11 September 2009, at 3:41 a.m.