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Rollout had I cubed next roll when I actually had something

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Friday, 11 September 2009, at 3:41 a.m.

In Response To: OTB and rollout (neilkaz)

This is why I shouldn't cube last roll as now I have a position that is passable. I think Tak would've taken, but who knows.

The score (after 0 games) is: Tak 5, neilkaz 4 (match to 9 points)

Move number 7: neilkaz on roll, cube decision?

Pip counts: Tak 147, neilkaz 145
Position ID: 2TbgADSw28QDQA Match ID: UQkgAVAAIAAA

• neilkaz doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.3571	(Money: +0.2732)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.8358
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.1642
3.	No double	+0.7302	-0.1056
Proper cube action:		Redouble, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player neilkaz owns 2-cube 0.6246 0.1865 0.0262 - 0.3754 0.1717 0.0171 +0.3571 +0.7302 Standard error 0.0028 0.0030 0.0034 - 0.0028 0.0075 0.0043 0.0077 0.0148 Player Tak owns 4-cube 0.6280 0.1865 0.0383 - 0.3720 0.1891 0.0219 +0.8358 +0.8358 Standard error 0.0036 0.0038 0.0043 - 0.0036 0.0103 0.0051 0.0193 0.0193
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
501 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 865062180 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Madison Semis..critical recube decision
  neilkaz -- Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 3:35 a.m.
  • Madison Semis..critical recube decision
    John O'Hagan -- Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 4:02 a.m.
  • Madison Semis..critical recube decision
    Neil Robins -- Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 5:30 a.m.
  • Madison Semis..critical recube decision
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 5:07 p.m.
  • Madison Semis..critical recube decision
    David Rockwell -- Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 6:03 p.m.
  • OTB and rollout
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 10:32 p.m.
    • Rollout had I cubed next roll when I actually had something
      neilkaz -- Friday, 11 September 2009, at 3:41 a.m.