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OTB and rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Friday, 11 September 2009, at 6:29 p.m.

In Response To: After I cubed Taki in..I had this 61 to play (Havard Raddum)

OTB I thought as you did and make the .04 error staying back and hoping to prime leaving 8 fewer shots. Unfortunately, as subsequent rolls showed, this may have cost me the match.

This is basically a DMP situation and I should play it as such.

The score (after 0 games) is: Tak 5, neilkaz 4 (match to 9 points)

Move number 6: neilkaz to play 16

Pip counts: Tak 147, neilkaz 145
Position ID: 2TbgADSw28QDQA Match ID: Qok4AVAAIAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	bar/24*/18	+0.4648
			0.6857 0.2093 0.0458 - 0.3143 0.1055 0.0150 +0.4648 +0.4648 0.0026 0.0026 0.0033 - 0.0026 0.0044 0.0024 0.0056 0.0056
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1577 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 864820962 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	bar/24* 13/7	+0.4218 ( -0.0429)
			0.6570 0.2415 0.0611 - 0.3430 0.1097 0.0227 +0.4218 +0.4218 0.0021 0.0025 0.0036 - 0.0021 0.0042 0.0027 0.0045 0.0045
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1578 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 864820962 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	0	bar/24* 10/4	+0.2994 ( -0.1654)
			0.6001 0.2223 0.0169 - 0.3999 0.1432 0.0045
	4	0	bar/24* 8/2*	+0.2031 ( -0.2617)
			0.5506 0.2283 0.0214 - 0.4494 0.1765 0.0108

Messages In This Thread

• After I cubed Taki in..I had this 61 to play
  neilkaz -- Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 10:44 p.m.
  • After I cubed Taki in..I had this 61 to play
    dc-ohio -- Thursday, 10 September 2009, at 11:21 p.m.
  • After I cubed Taki in..I had this 61 to play
    Rich Munitz -- Friday, 11 September 2009, at 1:01 a.m.
  • After I cubed Taki in..I had this 61 to play
    John O'Hagan -- Friday, 11 September 2009, at 1:03 a.m.
  • After I cubed Taki in..I had this 61 to play
    Havard Raddum -- Friday, 11 September 2009, at 8:10 a.m.
    • OTB and rollout
      neilkaz -- Friday, 11 September 2009, at 6:29 p.m.
  • After I cubed Taki in..I had this 61 to play
    Chuck Bower -- Friday, 11 September 2009, at 4:57 p.m.