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Not from Madison tourney - ROLLOUT

Posted By: Keene
Date: Sunday, 13 September 2009, at 2:28 p.m.

In Response To: Not from Madison tourney (Keene)

So a couple of bad mistakes from me here. First I failed to cube it!!! grr. Then I played 2(2)* thinking that there would be more gammons - which of course there is.

The score (after 6 games) is: PLAYER55 5, kilted 3 (match to 7 points)

Move number 3: kilted to play 64

PLAYER55164


2O ' ' ' '5X '3X ' '1X5O

1X1X '2O '4O '2O ' ' '4X

kilted161

Position ID: 4HPkASiYZ/ABMA Match ID: cAnzAFAAGAAA

• kilted moves 8/2* 6/2

Alert: missed double ( -0.077)!

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.094(Money: +0.178)
0.554 0.185 0.008 - 0.446 0.117 0.005
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.716
2.Double, pass +1.000 +0.284
3.No double +0.640 -0.077
Proper cube action:Double, take

Alert: doubtful move ( -0.043)

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 24/14* +0.866
0.6200.1820.017-0.3800.1040.008 +0.392 +0.866
0.0010.0010.001-0.0010.0030.001 0.004 0.006
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
2592 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 864112011 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.1 (min. 324 games)
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 8/2* 6/2 +0.823 ( -0.043)
0.5750.2200.024-0.4250.1340.017 +0.365 +0.823
0.0020.0020.002-0.0020.0040.002 0.007 0.010
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1357 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 864112011 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.1 (min. 324 games)
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 0 24/18 13/9 +0.473 ( -0.393)
0.544 0.166 0.008 - 0.456 0.130 0.004
4 0 24/18 6/2* +0.434 ( -0.432)
0.534 0.163 0.009 - 0.466 0.130 0.004
5 0 13/7 6/2* +0.419 ( -0.447)
0.519 0.177 0.009 - 0.481 0.141 0.009

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