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Matt and I agree,,and here's a 3 ply rollout
Posted By: neilkaz In Response To: Depreli Position 8...a longer rollout (Matt Cohn-Geier)
Date: Tuesday, 15 September 2009, at 7:58 p.m.
When I did that 2 ply I used Supremo (normally overkill IMHO) since there's so many possible plays with little numbers. Here I used 3 ply play for added lookahead depth (I used default settings since I had a bit less than 3 hours free comp time)
The score (after 0 games) is: opp 0, ntk 0
Move number 6: ntk to play 66
opp 49
ntk 139 Position ID: AACAsq1FAEkBAA Match ID: UQkbAAAAAAAA
# Ply Move Equity 1 R 19/1* 7/1 +0.5495
0.6439 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.3561 0.0201 0.0112 +0.2566 +0.5495 0.0008 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0008 0.0003 0.0002 0.0019 0.0024 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 6829 games, rollout as initial position, Mersenne Twister dice generator with seed 865019299 Play: grandmaster 3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. keep the first 0 2-ply moves and up to 2 more moves within equity 0.04 Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 23/5 7/1* +0.5335 ( -0.0160)
0.6345 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.3655 0.0162 0.0073 +0.2455 +0.5335 0.0009 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0009 0.0003 0.0002 0.0018 0.0024 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 6831 games, rollout as initial position, Mersenne Twister dice generator with seed 865019299 Play: grandmaster 3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. keep the first 0 2-ply moves and up to 2 more moves within equity 0.04 Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3 2 23/5 10/4 +0.4456 ( -0.1039) 0.6323 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.3677 0.0212 0.0128 4 2 23/5 19/13 +0.4452 ( -0.1043) 0.6309 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.3691 0.0182 0.0128 5 2 23/5 21/15 +0.4383 ( -0.1112) 0.6275 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.3725 0.0174 0.0126
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