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Genuine choices

Posted By: Neil Robins
Date: Thursday, 17 September 2009, at 7:15 a.m.

In Response To: Genuine choices (David Rockwell)

The 2-ply v 0-ply rollout I have does not give support to the idea that the play after 32S is easier in general than play resulting from 32D. I think it suggests the opposite.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0-ply 0, gnubg 2-ply 0

Move number 1: gnubg 2-ply to play 23

gnubg 0-ply167


2O ' ' ' '5X '3X ' ' '5O

2X ' ' ' '5O '3O ' ' '5X

gnubg 2-ply167

Position ID: 4HPwATDgc/ABMA Match ID: cAkNAAAAAAAA

• gnubg 2-ply moves 13/11 13/10

Alert: doubtful move ( -0.016)

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 24/21 13/11 +0.1218
0.51750.14040.0065-0.48250.12740.0056 +0.0490 +0.1218
0.00050.00050.0002-0.00050.00050.0001 0.0014 0.0039
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
15375 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 858752962 and quasi-random dice
Player 0:
Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Cube: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Player 1:
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.12
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 13/11 13/10 +0.1053 ( -0.0165)
0.51240.15530.0068-0.48760.13430.0072 +0.0456 +0.1053
0.00050.00050.0002-0.00050.00050.0001 0.0014 0.0036
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
15375 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 858752962 and quasi-random dice
Player 0:
Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Cube: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Player 1:
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.12
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 4 24/22 13/10 +0.0295 ( -0.0923)
0.5078 0.1402 0.0058 - 0.4922 0.1342 0.0045
4 2 24/22 24/21 -0.0078 ( -0.1296)
0.4999 0.1271 0.0066 - 0.5001 0.1348 0.0040
5 2 13/8 -0.0099 ( -0.1317)
0.4974 0.1380 0.0057 - 0.5026 0.1404 0.0049

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