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BGonline.org Forums
6/5 4/1* ... 4-3
Posted By: Daniel Murphy In Response To: Re: Re: Re: GNU-bg rollout (Chuck Bower)
Date: Monday, 7 May 2007, at 4:28 p.m.
The score (after 0 games) is: White 2, Blue 0 (match to 13 points)
Move number 6: White on roll, cube decision?
White 103
Blue 186 Position ID: 3QoAwDtstxsAQA Match ID: EQGgASAAAAAA
• White moves bar/21* 7/4
# Ply Move Equity 1 R bar/21*/18 +1.31018
0.84376 0.56662 0.12731 - 0.15624 0.00026 0.00002 +1.39242 +1.31018 0.00522 0.00598 0.00747 - 0.00522 0.00017 0.00001 0.01733 0.02025 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1058481698 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] • 2 R bar/21* 7/4 +1.25227 ( -0.05790)
0.82309 0.56270 0.13601 - 0.17691 0.00011 0.00004 +1.35567 +1.25227 0.00581 0.00642 0.00797 - 0.00581 0.00095 0.00002 0.01921 0.02261 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1058481698 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3 R bar/21* 8/5 +1.22225 ( -0.08793)
0.81321 0.55898 0.13642 - 0.18679 0.00018 0.00003 +1.33240 +1.22225 0.00605 0.00696 0.00734 - 0.00605 0.00070 0.00001 0.02028 0.02402 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1058481698 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] The difference would be smaller if gnubg 2-ply would refrain from hitting on with an ace on the roll after playing 7/4.
Roll 2-ply play Right play Error Error 6-4: bar/21*/15 bar/15 0.1442 *2/36 = 0.008011 6-5: bar/20*/14 bar/14 0.16106 *2/36 = 0.008947 6-1: bar/24*/18 bar/19 7/6 0.22610 *2/36 = 0.012561 4-1: bar/21*/20* bar/21* 7/6 0.10600 *2/36 = 0.005888 4-3 bar/21* 7/4 bar/21*/18 0.05790 *2/36 = 0.003216 0.038623 With 4-2 gnubg 2-ply plays bar/21*/19. With 5-1 gnubg 2-ply plays bar/20* 7/6.
Next up: 3-1 -- bar/24*/21* or bar/24* 7/4?
"In France, for instance, I'm told that marriage is now frequently contracted in seven-year terms where either party may move on when their term is up." -- Mitt Romney, 4 May 2007.
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