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Long XG rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Monday, 21 September 2009, at 8:12 p.m.

In Response To: OTB thoughts ..bot evals etc (Matt Cohn-Geier)

g11 MET which does become mec26 after 11 pts. Yeah I know there's some issues with one MET transitioning into the other. I'll run a money rollout which I expect will result in a pass also. I believe XG is saying .634 on a cubeless 1 cube assuming a take..so that should mean a money pass.

A short GNU rollout also said pass (I couldn't get GNU installed on this comp and will try again in a couple days in case it was a bug)
is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 139
15 point match
pip: 151
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=---B--DbD---cCa--c-cb---aB:0:0:-1:D:0:2:0:15:10
double to 2 take ?


Analyzed in Rollout
Player Winning Chances: 68.11% (G: 32.12% B: 0.70%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 31.89% (G: 7.53% B: 0.41%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.627
Double:+1.268
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.866 (-0.134)
Double/Take:+1.032 (+0.032)
Double/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.011 (+0.855...+0.878)
Confidence Double: ± 0.015 (+1.016...+1.047)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 34 minutes 27 seconds

Version: 1.03, MET: GnuBG 11 point

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