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BGonline.org Forums
GNU Mec 26 rollout in progress..MET's etc...
Posted By: neilkaz In Response To: Long XG rollout (Matt Cohn-Geier)
Date: Monday, 21 September 2009, at 10:18 p.m.
I should have over 2000 games done by bedtime and will post then.
Note that the 2 ply evaluation of this didn't change one bit when I switched from g11 to mec26.
I don't care for mec26 since it is calculated with a somewhat to low gammon percentage and with 100% cube efficiency which is bad as it overstates the trailer's chances to make a comeback. However that should be somewhat counter balanced by a somewhat low G percentage.
If I were going to calculate a MET I'd do it as follows to keep it simple and likely quite accurate.
14% Gammon chances for each player with 0.5% BG's...ie each player wins 36% Singles, 13.5% G's, 0.5% BG's.
70% cube efficiency.
-1-2PC (ie free drop) is 51.2%
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