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3-away 5-away #2 RO

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Wednesday, 23 September 2009, at 4:28 p.m.

In Response To: 3-away 5-away #2 (Matt Cohn-Geier)

Clear D/T here.

The score (after 0 games) is: White 3, Blue 4 (match to 7 points)

Move number 2: Blue on roll, cube decision?

White	129
Blue	121
Position ID: zG4HASGMt4UHAA Match ID: cAngADAAIAAA

• Blue doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.6070	(Money: +0.5587)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.0000
2.	Double, take	+1.0799	+0.0799
3.	No double	+0.9222	-0.0778
Proper cube action:		Double, pass
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.7343 0.1172 0.0037 - 0.2657 0.0297 0.0011 +0.6070 +0.9222 Standard error 0.0011 0.0019 0.0007 - 0.0011 0.0013 0.0003 0.0033 0.0077 Player White owns 2-cube 0.7392 0.1302 0.0076 - 0.2608 0.0325 0.0017 +1.5730 +1.0799 Standard error 0.0013 0.0029 0.0014 - 0.0013 0.0018 0.0005 0.0100 0.0119
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 865870434 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

The score (after 0 games) is: White 2, Blue 4 (match to 7 points)

Move number 2: Blue on roll, cube decision?

White	129
Blue	121
Position ID: zG4HASGMt4UHAA Match ID: cAngACAAIAAA

• Blue doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.5651	(Money: +0.5628)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.9450
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.0550
3.	No double	+0.8524	-0.0926
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.7352 0.1147 0.0051 - 0.2648 0.0266 0.0007 +0.5651 +0.8524 Standard error 0.0011 0.0020 0.0007 - 0.0011 0.0007 0.0003 0.0027 0.0063 Player White owns 2-cube 0.7408 0.1253 0.0071 - 0.2592 0.0247 0.0009 +1.2442 +0.9450 Standard error 0.0013 0.0029 0.0011 - 0.0013 0.0008 0.0003 0.0066 0.0087
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 865425157 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

The score (after 0 games) is: White 1, Blue 4 (match to 7 points)

Move number 2: Blue on roll, cube decision?

White	129
Blue	121
Position ID: zG4HASGMt4UHAA Match ID: cAngABAAIAAA

• Blue doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.5503	(Money: +0.5593)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.8834
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.1166
3.	No double	+0.8181	-0.0654
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.7320 0.1173 0.0071 - 0.2680 0.0286 0.0006 +0.5503 +0.8181 Standard error 0.0012 0.0019 0.0012 - 0.0012 0.0008 0.0001 0.0029 0.0065 Player White owns 2-cube 0.7412 0.1200 0.0086 - 0.2588 0.0251 0.0011 +1.1643 +0.8834 Standard error 0.0014 0.0029 0.0012 - 0.0014 0.0009 0.0004 0.0070 0.0093
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 866115023 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 4 (match to 7 points)

Move number 2: Blue on roll, cube decision?

White	129
Blue	121
Position ID: zG4HASGMt4UHAA Match ID: cAngAAAAIAAA

• Blue doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.0453)! [bad]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.5379	(Money: +0.5662)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.7586
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.2414
3.	Double, take	+0.7133	-0.0453
Proper cube action:		No double, take (15.8%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.7339 0.1225 0.0045 - 0.2661 0.0276 0.0009 +0.5379 +0.7586 Standard error 0.0010 0.0025 0.0006 - 0.0010 0.0007 0.0002 0.0028 0.0059 Player White owns 2-cube 0.7379 0.1290 0.0083 - 0.2621 0.0258 0.0008 +1.0060 +0.7133 Standard error 0.0013 0.0031 0.0013 - 0.0013 0.0007 0.0001 0.0072 0.0092
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 865276986 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• 3-away 5-away #2
  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 22 September 2009, at 4:14 a.m.
  • 3-away 5-away #2
    John O'Hagan -- Tuesday, 22 September 2009, at 5:55 a.m.
  • 3-away 5-away #2
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 22 September 2009, at 4:46 p.m.
  • 3-away 5-away #2 RO
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 23 September 2009, at 4:28 p.m.