Prague Finals Cube Action RO

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Prague Finals Cube Action RO

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Wednesday, 23 September 2009, at 4:31 p.m.

In Response To: Prague Finals Cube Action (Matt Cohn-Geier)

Also a clear D/T. This is also D/T for money but a clear pass at -3 -4.
The score (after 0 games) is: Money
Move number 3: Blue on roll, cube decision?

White 103

Blue 127
Position ID: snsbACC07QYBDA Match ID: cAkAAAAAIAAA

• Blue doubles

Cube decision

Rollout cubeless equity +0.5189

Cubeful equities:

1. Double, take +0.9504

2. Double, pass +1.0000 +0.0496

3. No double +0.7587 -0.1918

Proper cube action: Double, take

Rollout details

Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful

Centered 1-cube 0.7473 0.0922 0.0025 - 0.2527 0.0688 0.0016 +0.5189 +0.7587

Standard error 0.0011 0.0014 0.0002 - 0.0011 0.0012 0.0002 0.0029 0.0063

Player White owns 2-cube 0.7569 0.1035 0.0037 - 0.2431 0.0648 0.0018 +1.1087 +0.9504

Standard error 0.0015 0.0021 0.0004 - 0.0015 0.0014 0.0002 0.0078 0.0102

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 866005027 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

The score (after 0 games) is: White 3, Blue 4 (match to 7 points)
Move number 2: Blue on roll, cube decision?

White 103

Blue 127
Position ID: snsbACC07QYBDA Match ID: cAngADAAIAAA

• Blue doubles

Cube decision

Rollout cubeless equity +0.5449 (Money: +0.5168)

Cubeful equities:

1. Double, pass +1.0000

2. Double, take +1.0785 +0.0785

3. No double +0.7643 -0.2357

Proper cube action: Double, pass

Rollout details

Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful

Centered 1-cube 0.7459 0.0946 0.0032 - 0.2541 0.0700 0.0028 +0.5449 +0.7643

Standard error 0.0011 0.0016 0.0004 - 0.0011 0.0017 0.0006 0.0037 0.0080

Player White owns 2-cube 0.7566 0.1068 0.0060 - 0.2434 0.0842 0.0035 +1.5400 +1.0785

Standard error 0.0015 0.0028 0.0009 - 0.0015 0.0031 0.0007 0.0121 0.0131

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 865593511 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

The score (after 0 games) is: White 2, Blue 4 (match to 7 points)
Move number 2: Blue on roll, cube decision?

White 103

Blue 127
Position ID: snsbACC07QYBDA Match ID: cAngACAAIAAA

• Blue doubles

Cube decision

Rollout cubeless equity +0.5152 (Money: +0.5204)

Cubeful equities:

1. Double, take +0.8656

2. Double, pass +1.0000 +0.1344

3. No double +0.7216 -0.1439

Proper cube action: Double, take

Rollout details

Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful

Centered 1-cube 0.7465 0.0940 0.0031 - 0.2535 0.0677 0.0019 +0.5152 +0.7216

Standard error 0.0012 0.0019 0.0005 - 0.0012 0.0011 0.0003 0.0033 0.0072

Player White owns 2-cube 0.7575 0.1073 0.0055 - 0.2425 0.0638 0.0040 +1.1950 +0.8656

Standard error 0.0015 0.0030 0.0008 - 0.0015 0.0013 0.0006 0.0077 0.0111

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 865252637 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

The score (after 0 games) is: White 1, Blue 4 (match to 7 points)
Move number 2: Blue on roll, cube decision?

White 103

Blue 127
Position ID: snsbACC07QYBDA Match ID: cAngABAAIAAA

• Blue doubles

Cube decision

Rollout cubeless equity +0.5127 (Money: +0.5296)

Cubeful equities:

1. Double, take +0.7734

2. Double, pass +1.0000 +0.2266

3. No double +0.7042 -0.0692

Proper cube action: Double, take

Rollout details

Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful

Centered 1-cube 0.7471 0.0987 0.0026 - 0.2529 0.0643 0.0016 +0.5127 +0.7042

Standard error 0.0012 0.0022 0.0003 - 0.0012 0.0010 0.0002 0.0029 0.0070

Player White owns 2-cube 0.7551 0.1085 0.0053 - 0.2449 0.0588 0.0024 +1.1077 +0.7734

Standard error 0.0015 0.0032 0.0010 - 0.0015 0.0011 0.0003 0.0081 0.0116

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 865761692 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 4 (match to 7 points)
Move number 2: Blue on roll, cube decision?

White 103

Blue 127
Position ID: snsbACC07QYBDA Match ID: cAngAAAAIAAA

• Blue doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.0703)! [bad]

Cube decision

Rollout cubeless equity +0.5028 (Money: +0.5336)

Cubeful equities:

1. No double +0.6360

2. Double, pass +1.0000 +0.3640

3. Double, take +0.5658 -0.0703

Proper cube action: No double, take (16.2%)

Rollout details

Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful

Centered 1-cube 0.7482 0.0986 0.0039 - 0.2518 0.0639 0.0014 +0.5028 +0.6360

Standard error 0.0013 0.0021 0.0005 - 0.0013 0.0010 0.0001 0.0033 0.0070

Player White owns 2-cube 0.7532 0.1174 0.0080 - 0.2468 0.0576 0.0021 +0.9376 +0.5658

Standard error 0.0015 0.0036 0.0012 - 0.0015 0.0010 0.0003 0.0083 0.0117

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 865325495 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

White	103

Blue	127
Position ID: `snsbACC07QYBDA` Match ID: `cAkAAAAAIAAA`

White	103

Blue	127
Position ID: `snsbACC07QYBDA` Match ID: `cAngADAAIAAA`

White	103

Blue	127
Position ID: `snsbACC07QYBDA` Match ID: `cAngACAAIAAA`

White	103

Blue	127
Position ID: `snsbACC07QYBDA` Match ID: `cAngABAAIAAA`

White	103

Blue	127
Position ID: `snsbACC07QYBDA` Match ID: `cAngAAAAIAAA`

Messages In This Thread

Prague Finals Cube Action
Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 22 September 2009, at 4:34 a.m.
- Prague Finals Cube Action
  Phil Simborg -- Tuesday, 22 September 2009, at 1:26 p.m.
  - Prague Finals Cube Action
    rory -- Tuesday, 22 September 2009, at 2:53 p.m.
- Prague Finals Cube Action
  John O'Hagan -- Tuesday, 22 September 2009, at 2:52 p.m.
- Prague Finals Cube Action
  neilkaz -- Tuesday, 22 September 2009, at 3:20 p.m.
- Bonus Qs
  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 22 September 2009, at 7:35 p.m.
- Prague Finals Cube Action RO
  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 23 September 2009, at 4:31 p.m.
  - Prague Finals Cube Action RO
    Frank_N_Stein -- Wednesday, 23 September 2009, at 6:42 p.m.
    - Prague Finals Cube Action RO
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 23 September 2009, at 8:47 p.m.

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