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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 25 September 2009, at 1:20 a.m.

In Response To: Prop from Prague (Stick)

Falafel propped the take side of this position at .95. He ended up losing a fair bit I believe and it's stunning to see how such a simple position, albeit unconventional, can be misplayed by one player or the other.

Move number 3: user on roll, cube decision?

gnubg	124
user	108
Position ID: ZruBgUBuG8QjAA Match ID: cAkAAAAAAAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.510
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.955
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.045
3.	No double	+0.682	-0.273
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg   Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.675 0.232 0.005 - 0.325 0.076 0.001 +0.510 +0.682 Standard error 0.002 0.004 0.000 - 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.006 0.012 Player gnubg owns 2-cube 0.694 0.277 0.003 - 0.306 0.086 0.002 +1.157 +0.955 Standard error 0.003 0.005 0.001 - 0.003 0.002 0.001 0.016 0.020
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
245 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 865348480 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

 

Messages In This Thread

• Prop from Prague
  Stick -- Tuesday, 22 September 2009, at 12:15 a.m.
  • Prop from Prague
    John O'Hagan -- Tuesday, 22 September 2009, at 12:44 a.m.
  • Prop from Prague
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 22 September 2009, at 1:26 a.m.
  • Prop from Prague
    mamabear -- Tuesday, 22 September 2009, at 1:30 a.m.
  • Prop from Prague
    rory -- Tuesday, 22 September 2009, at 6:35 a.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Friday, 25 September 2009, at 1:20 a.m.
    • Rollout
      Chuck Bower -- Friday, 25 September 2009, at 4:27 p.m.