The non hitting play doesn't win enough by playing quietly. Still loses almost as many Gs as the other plays. I thought the double hit was way too huge, hard to follow that up. Odd it ended up 2nd.
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| 155 | |
| Board image courtesy of GO-Figure | |
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R | bar/23 18/16* 6/4(2) | -0.045 | |
| 0.4% 9.9% 46.4% 53.6% 23.9% 0.8% | ||||
| 95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.215 ±0.019. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 648 games (equiv. 20129 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database. | ||||
| 2 | R | bar/23 18/16* 13/9* | -0.101 (-0.056) | |
| 0.4% 9.1% 44.9% 55.1% 24.4% 1.4% | ||||
| 95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.265 ±0.021. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 648 games (equiv. 17891 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database. | ||||
| 3 | R | bar/23 8/6 6/4(2) | -0.147 (-0.102) | |
| 0.5% 9.1% 41.6% 58.4% 22.3% 0.3% | ||||
| 95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.299 ±0.024. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 329 games (equiv. 11600 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database. | ||||