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Snowie rollout

Posted By: Gregg Cattanach
Date: Friday, 2 October 2009, at 7:10 p.m.

In Response To: Preliminary rollout info (Timothy Chow)

Snowie appears to like the loose hit as well, (though 3-ply didn't think so). I guess stripping the midpoint this soon has some negatives. Perhaps trying to avoid White anchoring on the ace-point is a factor?

 Money session. Score X-O: 0-0
           X to play (5 2)
           +24-23-22-21-20-19-------18-17-16-15-14-13-+
           | X     X        O |   |     O           X |
           |                O |   |     O           X |
           |                O |   |     O           X | S
           |                O |   |                 X | n
           |                O |   |                   | o
           |                  |BAR|                   | w
           |                X |   |                   | i
           |                X |   |                 O | e
           |                X |   |     X           O |
           |          O     X |   |     X           O |
           | O        O     X |   |     X        X  O |
           +-1--2--3--4--5--6--------7--8--9-10-11-12-+
           Pipcount  X: 163  O: 172  X-O: 0-0/Money (1)
           CubeValue:  1
           1. R  13/11 6/1*                Eq.:  0.050
               0.7%  13.2%  51.8%    48.2%  13.4%   0.6%
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: 0.034 ±0.025.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  432 games (equiv. 11456 games),
                  played 2-ply (precise),
                  random seed, with race database.
           2. R  13/8 13/11                Eq.:  0.029 (-0.020)
               0.8%  12.0%  51.7%    48.3%  13.7%   0.6%
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: 0.018 ±0.023.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  432 games (equiv. 13355 games),
                  played 2-ply (precise),
                  random seed, with race database.
           3. R  24/22 13/8                Eq.:  0.023 (-0.027)
               0.4%  12.2%  50.5%    49.5%  11.4%   0.4%
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: 0.017 ±0.022.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  432 games (equiv. 13176 games),
                  played 2-ply (precise),
                  random seed, with race database.
           4. R  22/15                     Eq.: -0.040 (-0.090)
               0.5%  11.5%  50.0%    50.0%  14.6%   0.7%
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: -0.033 ±0.023.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  432 games (equiv. 12002 games),
                  played 2-ply (precise),
                  random seed, with race database.
           5. 3  24/22 6/1*                Eq.: -0.018 (-0.068)
               0.5%  12.2%  49.7%    50.3%  13.0%   0.6%

 ------------------------------ End ----------------------------------

Messages In This Thread

• A tricky decision
  Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 1 October 2009, at 2:31 a.m.
  • A tricky decision
    Stick -- Thursday, 1 October 2009, at 2:45 a.m.
    • A tricky decision
      Phil Simborg -- Thursday, 1 October 2009, at 3:41 p.m.
  • A tricky decision
    John O'Hagan -- Thursday, 1 October 2009, at 3:05 a.m.
  • A tricky decision
    Rich Munitz -- Thursday, 1 October 2009, at 4:26 a.m.
  • A tricky decision
    Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 1 October 2009, at 7:15 p.m.
  • A tricky decision
    Fabrice Liardet -- Thursday, 1 October 2009, at 8:55 p.m.
  • Preliminary rollout info
    Timothy Chow -- Friday, 2 October 2009, at 12:07 a.m.
    • Preliminary rollout info
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 2 October 2009, at 2:10 a.m.
      • Preliminary rollout info
        Timothy Chow -- Friday, 2 October 2009, at 3:16 a.m.
    • Preliminary rollout info
      Rich Munitz -- Friday, 2 October 2009, at 2:18 a.m.
    • Snowie rollout
      Gregg Cattanach -- Friday, 2 October 2009, at 7:10 p.m.
  • A tricky decision
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 2 October 2009, at 8:26 p.m.
    • A tricky decision
      Rich Munitz -- Friday, 2 October 2009, at 8:34 p.m.
      • A tricky decision
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 2 October 2009, at 8:46 p.m.
    • A tricky decision
      Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 3 October 2009, at 4:05 a.m.
      • A tricky decision
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Saturday, 3 October 2009, at 5:33 a.m.
  • 5184-game rollout
    Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 7 October 2009, at 1:18 a.m.
    • 5184-game rollout
      Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 7 October 2009, at 12:57 p.m.
  • 3-ply RO
    Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 8 October 2009, at 9:36 p.m.
  • 22-pt instead of 21-pt -- 3ply RO TCTC
    Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 8 October 2009, at 9:38 p.m.
    • 22-pt instead of 21-pt -- 3ply RO TCTC
      Rich Munitz -- Thursday, 8 October 2009, at 11:50 p.m.