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-2-1C and -3-1P have to be the same, of course.

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Sunday, 4 October 2009, at 2:39 p.m.

In Response To: Some bot rollouts of -2-1C ..obtaining the ME at GG (NJ)

"So my question is: should -2 -1 crawford and -3 -1 post crawford have the same equity? It does in my MET, but maybe I am missing something. I got more confused when I looked at g11 and mec26. They have conflicting results."

"g11 -2 -1 C = 31.855% g11 -3 -1 PC = 31.770% (i.e. post crawford is worse)"

(NK) This is statistical noise with g11 as the number of rollouts wasn't that large.

"mec26 -2 -1 C = 31.5% mec26 -3 -1 PC = 31.95% (i.e. post crawford is better)"

(NK) Wow !! I never saw that with mec26, but honestly haven't paid much attention to it. Clearly something is wrong with the MEG used to create it in this case.

(NK) It seems that your MEG (Match Equity Generator) is well written and will provide good results. I'd love to see the resulting MET from my parameters:

70% cube efficiency

36% singles, 13.5% G, 0.5% BG's (ie -2-1C is 32%) for both players any score

-1-2P is 51.2% (I trust that from that your program can get other free drop ME's)

.. neilkaz ..

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