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BGonline.org Forums
Positionally Busted
Posted By: Rich Munitz In Response To: Positionally Busted (neilkaz)
Date: Monday, 5 October 2009, at 4:05 a.m.
This is a fascinating position. The volatility is so low here that it seems that the position can only be a double if it is already a pass. If it is a take, perhaps 55 is a market loser, and maybe a few other bad numbers from black. But not much more. If white attacks and leaves return shots, black may have more market losers coming, but those are next roll, not this one.
So is it a take? Aside from a lack of homeboard points, black is in good shape. And it will take white lots of time to clear and black should be able to make some points by then (perhaps behind the anchor). White will either be cracking or breaking an anchor immediately and be open for attack. The gap on white's 4 point will be annoying. Just seems like there is still quite a bit of work to do and things to go wrong for white. And if all else fails playing a 2 point anchor is not great, but still wins lots of games. So looks like a take.
ND/T
Practically speaking, I double this. There will be enough droppers out there looking at blacks clear advantage in assets.
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