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Cube after Blotfest?

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Friday, 9 October 2009, at 3:06 p.m.

In Response To: Cube after Blotfest? (Max Urban)

This is a trivially easy take, and I would be shocked if it were a double. If it were a money game it might be a beaver. Blue's only asset is a temporary race lead, and that by itself is not much of an advantage in this position. Blue has made no new home-board points—actually, no new points at all since the start of the game—and has four blots scattered around the board. He is unlikely to be able to clean everything up unless he launches a successful blitz, but he is hardly a favorite to do so: White isn't even on the bar right now, and if Blue hits loose there is going to be a blot-hitting contest in which Blue is outboarded 2 to 1. Even if Blue cleans up all the blots with, say, a 54 played 21/17 10/5, White has excellent chances of making an advanced anchor and getting a playable mutual holding game.

Don't double just because you have a race lead if your structure is a shambles.

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