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BGonline.org Forums
DMP 52 - hit?
Posted By: Daniel Murphy In Response To: DMP 52 - hit? (Keene)
Date: Sunday, 11 October 2009, at 7:34 a.m.
24/17 must be awful since it leaves so many ways to end up on the bar. I figure 12/5* makes Blue about a 20:16 favorite, and 12/7 12/9 should also make Blue a small favorite (one back behind an improvable 4-prime vs 2 behind a 4-prime, one outfield runner each). I'd play 12/7 9/7, because I can't count enough sure winners to make the more decisive end-the-game-now 12/5* play.
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