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Rollout: Cube after Blotfest?

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 12 October 2009, at 4:41 a.m.

In Response To: Cube after Blotfest? (Max Urban)

I rolled this out; unfortunately I didn't notice until after the rollout finished that I had accidentally specified a money game rather than a 7-away 7-away match score. Hopefully the result is still somewhat meaningful. It seems to be an easy take. Especially in light of the recent discussion about GNU's weaknesses, I'm not sure if GNU really understands how to play these positions. My guess, though, is that if anything, GNU understands the offense better than the defense here; if so, then it should still be an easy take in reality.

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.527
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.731
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.269
3.	No double	+0.611	-0.120
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.597 0.337 0.065 - 0.403 0.067 0.003 +0.527 +0.611 Standard error 0.003 0.004 0.003 - 0.003 0.002 0.001 0.011 0.026 Player gnubg owns 2-cube 0.603 0.349 0.073 - 0.397 0.071 0.004 +1.107 +0.731 Standard error 0.005 0.005 0.004 - 0.005 0.002 0.000 0.032 0.039
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 871848189 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Cube after Blotfest?
  Max Urban -- Friday, 9 October 2009, at 8:10 a.m.
  • Cube after Blotfest?
    Martin -- Friday, 9 October 2009, at 8:58 a.m.
  • Cube after Blotfest?
    Havard Raddum -- Friday, 9 October 2009, at 9:09 a.m.
  • Cube after Blotfest?
    Timothy Chow -- Friday, 9 October 2009, at 3:06 p.m.
  • Cube after Blotfest?
    Stick -- Friday, 9 October 2009, at 3:33 p.m.
  • Cube after Blotfest?
    Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 9 October 2009, at 3:40 p.m.
  • Cube after Blotfest?
    neilkaz -- Friday, 9 October 2009, at 4:50 p.m.
  • Cube after Blotfest?
    Rich Munitz -- Friday, 9 October 2009, at 8:23 p.m.
    • Cube after Blotfest?
      Keene -- Friday, 9 October 2009, at 8:32 p.m.
      • Cube after Blotfest?
        Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 10 October 2009, at 4:27 a.m.
        • Cube after Blotfest?
          Keene -- Saturday, 10 October 2009, at 6:12 a.m.
  • Rollout: Cube after Blotfest?
    Timothy Chow -- Monday, 12 October 2009, at 4:41 a.m.