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4-Away, 4-Away - RO at GG

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Wednesday, 14 October 2009, at 2:14 p.m.

In Response To: 4-Away, 4-Away - Backgame plan too risky at this score? (Max Urban)

At Gammon Go, "this is it. Make no mistake where you are. This is it. Your back's to the corner. This is it. Don't be a fool anymore. This is it. The waiting is over. No room to run, no way to hide, no time for wondering why. It's here. The moment is now."

The score (after 0 games) is: Opponent 4, Hero 3 (match to 5 points, Crawford game)

Move number 7: Hero to play 61

Opponent	107
Hero	139
Position ID: G7uBAwK2vAKADQ Match ID: 8AmnAEAAGAAA

• Hero moves 22/16 6/5*

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	22/16 6/5*	-0.1417
			0.3264 0.1028 0.0108 - 0.6736 0.5543 0.1547 -0.1417 -0.1417 0.0014 0.0013 0.0020 - 0.0014 0.0056 0.0057 0.0041 0.0041
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			2055 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 872379897 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	21/15 6/5*	-0.1460 ( -0.0043)
			0.3363 0.0907 0.0076 - 0.6637 0.5223 0.1707 -0.1460 -0.1460 0.0015 0.0012 0.0012 - 0.0015 0.0053 0.0059 0.0040 0.0040
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			2054 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 872379897 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	7/1 6/5*	-0.2105 ( -0.0688)
			0.3298 0.0650 0.0016 - 0.6702 0.4928 0.0632 -0.2105 -0.2105 0.0047 0.0039 0.0003 - 0.0047 0.0202 0.0118 0.0129 0.0129
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			199 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 872379897 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	R	8/2 6/5*	-0.2284 ( -0.0867)
			0.3250 0.0608 0.0010 - 0.6750 0.4608 0.0410 -0.2284 -0.2284 0.0059 0.0036 0.0003 - 0.0059 0.0262 0.0129 0.0148 0.0148
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			114 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 872379897 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	R	21/15 8/7	-0.3187 ( -0.1771)
			0.2888 0.0518 0.0059 - 0.7112 0.4619 0.0520 -0.3187 -0.3187 0.0043 0.0030 0.0024 - 0.0043 0.0351 0.0163 0.0097 0.0097
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			114 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 872379897 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	6	R	22/16 8/7	-0.3465 ( -0.2049)
			0.2694 0.0574 0.0017 - 0.7306 0.4260 0.0181 -0.3465 -0.3465 0.0044 0.0043 0.0007 - 0.0044 0.0330 0.0071 0.0138 0.0138
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			113 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 872379897 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	7	R	8/1	-0.3790 ( -0.2373)
			0.2776 0.0329 0.0013 - 0.7224 0.3291 0.0253 -0.3790 -0.3790 0.0047 0.0043 0.0006 - 0.0047 0.0274 0.0088 0.0138 0.0138
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			113 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 872379897 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Annotation

1. Cubeful 2-ply 22/16 6/5* Eq.: -0.1623

0.3149 0.1039 0.0014 - 0.6851 0.4916 0.0932

2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

2. Cubeful 2-ply 21/15 6/5* Eq.: -0.1882 ( -0.0259)

0.3114 0.0945 0.0008 - 0.6886 0.4883 0.1113

2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

3. Cubeful 2-ply 7/1 6/5* Eq.: -0.2173 ( -0.0550)

0.3180 0.0733 0.0004 - 0.6820 0.3231 0.0112

2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

4. Cubeful 2-ply 8/2 6/5* Eq.: -0.2583 ( -0.0960)

0.3058 0.0651 0.0004 - 0.6942 0.2964 0.0074

2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

5. Cubeful 2-ply 21/15 8/7 Eq.: -0.3144 ( -0.1521)

0.2780 0.0648 0.0008 - 0.7220 0.2869 0.0081

2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

6. Cubeful 2-ply 22/16 8/7 Eq.: -0.3504 ( -0.1881)

0.2646 0.0602 0.0007 - 0.7354 0.2906 0.0070

2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

7. Cubeful 2-ply 8/1 Eq.: -0.3702 ( -0.2079)

0.2691 0.0458 0.0002 - 0.7309 0.2135 0.0033

2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
--

1. Cubeful 3-ply 22/16 6/5* Eq.: -0.2096

0.2968 0.0984 0.0027 - 0.7032 0.4748 0.0754

3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]

2. Cubeful 3-ply 21/15 6/5* Eq.: -0.2320 ( -0.0223)

0.2941 0.0899 0.0021 - 0.7059 0.4604 0.0730

3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]

3. Cubeful 3-ply 7/1 6/5* Eq.: -0.2660 ( -0.0564)

0.2917 0.0753 0.0012 - 0.7083 0.3284 0.0126

3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]

4. Cubeful 3-ply 8/2 6/5* Eq.: -0.3474 ( -0.1378)

0.2617 0.0645 0.0009 - 0.7383 0.3048 0.0079

3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]

5. Cubeful 3-ply 21/15 8/7 Eq.: -0.3504 ( -0.1408)

0.2661 0.0587 0.0012 - 0.7339 0.2773 0.0080

3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]

6. Cubeful 3-ply 22/16 8/7 Eq.: -0.3857 ( -0.1761)

0.2538 0.0534 0.0011 - 0.7462 0.2876 0.0076

3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]

7. Cubeful 3-ply 8/1 Eq.: -0.4343 ( -0.2246)

0.2420 0.0409 0.0004 - 0.7580 0.2159 0.0043

3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]

Messages In This Thread

• 4-Away, 4-Away - Backgame plan too risky at this score?
  Max Urban -- Monday, 12 October 2009, at 9:55 a.m.
  • 4-Away, 4-Away - Backgame plan too risky at this score?
    Daniel Murphy -- Monday, 12 October 2009, at 4:15 p.m.
  • 4-Away, 4-Away - Backgame plan too risky at this score?
    Stick -- Monday, 12 October 2009, at 4:17 p.m.
  • 4-Away, 4-Away - Backgame plan too risky at this score?
    Martin -- Monday, 12 October 2009, at 6:01 p.m.
  • 4-Away, 4-Away - Backgame plan too risky at this score?
    Rich Munitz -- Monday, 12 October 2009, at 6:37 p.m.
  • 4-Away, 4-Away - Backgame plan too risky at this score?
    neilkaz -- Monday, 12 October 2009, at 7:35 p.m.
  • 4-Away, 4-Away - RO at GG
    Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 14 October 2009, at 2:14 p.m.
    • 4-Away, 4-Away - RO at GG
      Max Urban -- Wednesday, 14 October 2009, at 2:25 p.m.
    • It would be nice to see a rollout with the OP score and cube position
      neilkaz -- Wednesday, 14 October 2009, at 4:48 p.m.
      • It would be nice to see a rollout with the OP score and cube position
        Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 14 October 2009, at 5:04 p.m.
      • My friggin LT rebooted overnight..but after 3888 games
        neilkaz -- Thursday, 15 October 2009, at 5:39 p.m.
        • My friggin LT rebooted overnight..but after 3888 games
          Daniel Murphy -- Thursday, 15 October 2009, at 8:51 p.m.
          • Will redo this over weekend *NM*
            neilkaz -- Friday, 16 October 2009, at 5:09 p.m.
            • XG rollout continues...
              neilkaz -- Saturday, 17 October 2009, at 5:35 p.m.
  • 4-Away, 4-Away - RO money game
    Daniel Murphy -- Thursday, 15 October 2009, at 3:02 a.m.