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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout
Posted By: Stick In Response To: What Colour is the Wind - #3 (Stick)
Date: Saturday, 17 October 2009, at 3:13 p.m.
I cleared the mid here and thought it was clear. I can handle being wrong but I couldn't accept the explanation given for why it was right not to leave a shot. (paraphrasing: White's position is too strong, wait for White to create a weakness before leaving the shot. That's a nice theory but White has way too much timing and will rarely create a worthwhile weakness.
The only reason clearing the 8pt is even close is because of the odd(?) extra gammons it wins. I think clearing the 8pt deserves to be farther back, it's not good mkay.
gnubg 111
Stick 78 Position ID: bLcRAwJ75gwGAA Match ID: QQkWAAAAAAAA
# Ply Move Equity • 1 R 13/9 13/8 +0.165
0.632 0.025 0.000 - 0.368 0.031 0.000 +0.256 +0.165 0.002 0.002 0.000 - 0.002 0.002 0.000 0.004 0.004 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 164 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 871602236 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 8/4 8/3 +0.137 ( -0.028)
0.618 0.047 0.000 - 0.382 0.045 0.002 +0.236 +0.137 0.003 0.003 0.000 - 0.003 0.003 0.000 0.007 0.010 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 165 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 871602236 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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