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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 17 October 2009, at 3:31 p.m.

In Response To: What Colour is the Wind - Page 67 (Stick)

I think this entire page in the book may need rewritten.

Move number 3: Stick on roll, cube decision?

gnubg	90
Stick	101
Position ID: 3W0DAAwb2zYAQA Match ID: cAkAAAAAAAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.436
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.748
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.252
3.	Double, take	+0.672	-0.076
Proper cube action:		No double, take (23.1%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg   Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.676 0.136 0.004 - 0.324 0.055 0.001 +0.436 +0.748 Standard error 0.004 0.005 0.001 - 0.004 0.002 0.000 0.012 0.024 Player gnubg owns 2-cube 0.683 0.127 0.004 - 0.317 0.053 0.001 +0.886 +0.672 Standard error 0.004 0.005 0.001 - 0.004 0.002 0.000 0.022 0.027
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
216 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 871896175 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

 

Messages In This Thread

• What Colour is the Wind - Page 67
  Stick -- Friday, 16 October 2009, at 12:17 p.m.
  • What Colour is the Wind - Page 67
    misja -- Friday, 16 October 2009, at 2:55 p.m.
  • What Colour is the Wind - Page 67
    neilkaz -- Friday, 16 October 2009, at 3:12 p.m.
  • If I only knew....
    David -- Friday, 16 October 2009, at 4:24 p.m.
  • What Colour is the Wind - Page 67
    Keene -- Friday, 16 October 2009, at 6:42 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Saturday, 17 October 2009, at 3:31 p.m.