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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 17 October 2009, at 3:37 p.m.

In Response To: What Colour is the Wind - Page 80 (Stick)

Chris' non committal "OtB I would probably double because I think a lot of palyers would pass" rubbed me the wrong way. Must Monster double.

Move number 3: Stick on roll, cube decision?

gnubg	134
Stick	151
Position ID: M86hASTYbgMBTA Match ID: cAkAAAAAAAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.486
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.819
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.181
3.	No double	+0.675	-0.144
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg   Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.678 0.228 0.016 - 0.322 0.110 0.005 +0.486 +0.675 Standard error 0.006 0.008 0.006 - 0.006 0.004 0.001 0.020 0.042 Player gnubg owns 2-cube 0.690 0.244 0.018 - 0.310 0.108 0.005 +1.057 +0.819 Standard error 0.006 0.011 0.006 - 0.006 0.005 0.001 0.044 0.055
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
89 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 871931744 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

 

Messages In This Thread

• What Colour is the Wind - Page 80
  Stick -- Friday, 16 October 2009, at 12:24 p.m.
  • What Colour is the Wind - Page 80
    David -- Friday, 16 October 2009, at 2:38 p.m.
    • What Colour is the Wind - Page 80
      neilkaz -- Friday, 16 October 2009, at 3:21 p.m.
  • What Colour is the Wind - Page 80
    misja -- Friday, 16 October 2009, at 3:09 p.m.
  • What Colour is the Wind - Page 80
    Keene -- Friday, 16 October 2009, at 6:41 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Saturday, 17 October 2009, at 3:37 p.m.