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BGonline.org Forums
Cube action
Posted By: neilkaz In Response To: Cube action - What MET to use? (David Rockwell)
Date: Tuesday, 20 October 2009, at 6:43 p.m.
If you pass, I think 12a3a leaves you with about 5% at best.
If you take and always recube you win the game about 15% (11/72 and adding a fraction for 21 twice) Assuming that you always recube 15% x 37% = 5.55% and you'll save about 1.4% 1/12 of the time or .11% more..so 5.66%
That seems close enough to also make recubing correct. I'd recube an expert or better OTB and let me opp worry about it. I did the math here as I'd do it in my head while playing given that I was alert and willing to burn some clock time.
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