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3-away 7-away cube - RO

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Tuesday, 27 October 2009, at 6:12 p.m.

In Response To: 3-away 7-away cube action (Daniel Murphy)

The score (after 1 game) is: Opponent 0, Hero 4 (match to 7 points)

Move number 8: Hero on roll, cube decision?

Opponent	154
Hero	131
Position ID: cM/IAVCYd4PBAA Match ID: cAngAAAAIAAA

• Hero doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.0662)! [bad]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.6692	(Money: +0.7700)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.7947
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.2053
3.	Double, take	+0.7285	-0.0662
Proper cube action:		No double, take (24.4%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.7323 0.3305 0.0304 - 0.2677 0.0528 0.0027 +0.6692 +0.7947 Standard error 0.0014 0.0034 0.0027 - 0.0014 0.0012 0.0007 0.0050 0.0101 Player Opponent owns 2-cube 0.7342 0.3459 0.0618 - 0.2658 0.0462 0.0040 +1.0598 +0.7285 Standard error 0.0018 0.0056 0.0043 - 0.0018 0.0013 0.0010 0.0118 0.0162
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 868824131 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Annotation

Cube analysis
2-ply cubeless equity +0.7359 (Money: +0.7302)
0.7298 0.3153 0.0164 - 0.2702 0.0601 0.0009
Cubeful equities:
1. No double +0.7408
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.2592)
3. Double, take +0.6862 ( -0.0546)
Proper cube action: No double, take (17.4%)

Cube analysis
3-ply cubeless equity +0.7870 (Money: +0.7819)
0.7490 0.3176 0.0154 - 0.2510 0.0482 0.0009
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take +0.8489
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.1511)
3. No double +0.8264 ( -0.0225)
Proper cube action: Double, take

Cube analysis
4-ply cubeless equity +0.7314 (Money: +0.7261)
0.7301 0.3096 0.0155 - 0.2699 0.0581 0.0011
Cubeful equities:
1. No double +0.7529
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.2471)
3. Double, take +0.6783 ( -0.0746)
Proper cube action: No double, take (23.2%)

Messages In This Thread

• 3-away 7-away cube action
  Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 25 October 2009, at 1:52 a.m.
  • 3-away 7-away cube action
    Rich Munitz -- Sunday, 25 October 2009, at 4:17 a.m.
  • 3-away 7-away cube action
    Peter G. -- Sunday, 25 October 2009, at 10:01 a.m.
  • 3-away 7-away cube action
    jdg -- Sunday, 25 October 2009, at 3:09 p.m.
  • 3-away 7-away cube action
    David -- Monday, 26 October 2009, at 1:50 a.m.
  • 3-away 7-away cube action
    rory -- Monday, 26 October 2009, at 4:04 a.m.
  • 3-away 7-away cube action
    Chuck Bower -- Monday, 26 October 2009, at 9:40 p.m.
    • 3-away 7-away cube action
      Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 27 October 2009, at 12:10 a.m.
  • 3-away 7-away cube action
    Keene -- Tuesday, 27 October 2009, at 3:12 p.m.
  • 3-away 7-away cube action
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 27 October 2009, at 4:00 p.m.
  • 3-away 7-away cube - RO
    Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 27 October 2009, at 6:12 p.m.
    • 3-away 7-away cube - RO
      Christian Munk-Christensen -- Tuesday, 27 October 2009, at 6:57 p.m.
    • 3-away 7-away cube - RO
      Rich Munitz -- Tuesday, 27 October 2009, at 7:27 p.m.
      • What is "Stick's Rule"? *NM*
        Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 27 October 2009, at 9:07 p.m.
      • 3-away 7-away cube - RO
        Christian Munk-Christensen -- Tuesday, 27 October 2009, at 9:30 p.m.
        • 3-away 7-away cube action
          Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 28 October 2009, at 12:30 a.m.
          • 3-away 7-away cube action
            Rich Munitz -- Wednesday, 28 October 2009, at 4:53 a.m.
            • 3-away 7-away cube action
              Christian Munk-Christensen -- Wednesday, 28 October 2009, at 11:25 a.m.
      • 3-away 7-away cube - RO
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 28 October 2009, at 9:58 a.m.
        • 3-away 7-away cube - RO
          Rich Munitz -- Wednesday, 28 October 2009, at 1:28 p.m.
    • 3-away 7-away cube - RO
      rew -- Wednesday, 28 October 2009, at 9:24 a.m.
      • 3-away 7-away cube - RO
        rew -- Wednesday, 28 October 2009, at 2:12 p.m.
    • XG RO agrees
      neilkaz -- Thursday, 29 October 2009, at 3:57 p.m.