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Latto Paradox

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Friday, 30 October 2009, at 6:37 a.m.

In Response To: Latto Paradox (mamabear)

Responding to http://www.bgonline.org/forums/webbbs_config.pl?noframes;read=51988 with regard to http://www.bkgm.com/rgb/rgb.cgi?view+714 :

Gnubg says: no double, no redouble.

Money Game. Blue on roll.

Cappucino	26
Latte	115
Position ID: 7hQAALZtAwCwAA Match ID: cAkAAAAAAAAA

Alert: wrong double ( -0.2006)! [very bad]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.0229
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.3889
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.6111
3.	Double, take	+0.1883	-0.2006
Proper cube action:		No double, take (24.7%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6302 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.3698 0.1982 0.0392 +0.0229 +0.3889 Standard error 0.0007 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0007 0.0006 0.0002 0.0016 0.0000 Player Cappucino owns 2-cube 0.6826 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.3174 0.1950 0.0392 +0.2619 +0.1883 Standard error 0.0034 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0034 0.0017 0.0014 0.0147 0.0171
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
324 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 868851875 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Money Game. Blue on roll.

Cappucino	26
Latte	115
Position ID: 7hQAALZtAwCwAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA

Alert: wrong double ( -0.0663)! [very bad]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.0221
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.2546
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.7454
3.	Double, take	+0.1883	-0.0663
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (8.2%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Latte owns 2-cube 0.6296 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.3704 0.1958 0.0413 +0.0221 +0.2546 Standard error 0.0017 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0017 0.0017 0.0014 0.0040 0.0044 Player Cappucino owns 4-cube 0.6825 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.3175 0.1949 0.0392 +0.2619 +0.1883 Standard error 0.0034 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0034 0.0016 0.0014 0.0147 0.0171
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
324 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 868851875 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Latto Paradox
  Phil Simborg -- Monday, 19 October 2009, at 6:59 p.m.
  • Latto Paradox
    Michael Petch -- Monday, 19 October 2009, at 7:06 p.m.
    • Latto Paradox
      mamabear -- Tuesday, 27 October 2009, at 1:15 p.m.
      • Latto Paradox
        Phil Simborg -- Tuesday, 27 October 2009, at 2:04 p.m.
  • Latto Paradox
    eXtreme Gammon -- Monday, 19 October 2009, at 7:26 p.m.
  • Latto Paradox
    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 20 October 2009, at 3:01 a.m.
  • Kauder Paradox
    lenny -- Tuesday, 20 October 2009, at 5:42 a.m.
  • Latto Paradox
    mamabear -- Tuesday, 27 October 2009, at 1:09 p.m.
    • Latto Paradox
      Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 30 October 2009, at 6:37 a.m.
      • Latto Paradox
        mamabear -- Friday, 30 October 2009, at 2:08 p.m.