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Longer Rollout of #459

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Saturday, 31 October 2009, at 4:23 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout of #459 (tem_sat)

I'm never comfortable with 108 game rollouts, but with the std dev as low as it was here, there was almost no way a 1.07 pass would be overturned.

The score (after 0 games) is: user 0, gnubg 0

Move number 6: gnubg doubles to 4

user42


7X6X ' '1O ' '1O ' ' ' '

2O1X2O2O2O2O '2O1O ' ' '

gnubg100

Position ID: fz8AAIjZNgsQAQ Match ID: UREAAAAAAAAA

• user accepts

Alert: wrong take ( -0.0757)! [doubtful]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.5353
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass +1.0000
2.Double, take +1.0757 +0.0757
3.No double +0.8758 -0.1242
Proper cube action:Redouble, pass
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Player gnubg owns 2-cube0.78620.00000.0000-0.21380.03710.0001 +0.5353 +0.8758
Standard error0.00110.00000.0000-0.00110.00070.0000 0.0022 0.0056
Player user owns 4-cube0.80700.00000.0000-0.19300.03700.0001 +1.1539 +1.0757
Standard error0.00100.00000.0000-0.00100.00060.0000 0.0041 0.0064
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 805465826 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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