Position was a little bit different. We had some better racing chances and less timing to stay any longer. 9% instead of 10% after Rollout That was round about the number we have expected to win.
In the last games before they wasted lot of the time bank. It was down to 3 minutes and that tipped the scale for us. The kind way of long discussing positions and semi celebrating already would not have been possible if we would have started a nice comeback :) Discussing in a Consultation Double when the errors become matchdeciders under timetrouble should be worth giving away those 0.7% in theory
I think its not a big deal after all and the expression 'egregious pass' maybe too theoretically sophisticated
XGID=-GCaBB-----------a-cbbbbb-:1:1:1:00:10:1:0:13:10
Score is X:10 O:1 13 pt(s) match. +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+ | O | | O O O O O O | | | | O O O O O O | | | | O | | | | | | | | | | |BAR| | | | | 7 | | | | X | | | | X X | +---+ | | | X X X X | | 2 | | | | X X O X X | +---+ +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+ Pipcount X: 31 O: 78 X-O: 10-1/13 Cube : 2, X own cube X on roll, cube action
Analyzed in Rollout Player Winning Chances: 90,97% (G: 1,44% B: 0,00%) Opponent Winning Chances: 9,03% (G: 0,00% B: 0,00%)
Cubeless Equities: No Redouble=+0,826, Redouble=+1,101
Cubeful Equities:
No Redouble: +0,870
Redouble/Take: +0,716 (-0,154)
Redouble/Drop: +1,000 (+0,130)
Best Cube action: No Redouble / Take
Rollout 1080 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 100 Moves: 3 ply Red, cube decisions: 3 ply Confidence No Double: ± 0,003 (+0,867Double Decision confidence: 100,0% Take Decision confidence: 100,0%
Duration: 34,8 seconds
Version: 1.03, MET: eXtremeGammon