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Posted By: neilkaz In Response To: A common quick 66 position cube-type (neilkaz)
Date: Sunday, 1 November 2009, at 3:59 p.m.
While playing I thought that this was a close pass since Black is quite blocked, trails in the race, I often escape from the 18 pt and Black's outfield points often break up. I wasn't surprised when XGR+(beta) went into thought here but was surprised when it took it.
is XG Roller +
score: 0
pip: 133Money session
Jacoby Beaverpip: 117
score: 0
is Neil
XGID=-b-BB-DBB---bA---bBdabb---:0:0:1:D:0:0:3:0:8 double to 2 take ?
Analyzed in Rollout Player Winning Chances: 73.04% (G: 18.54% B: 1.09%) Opponent Winning Chances: 26.96% (G: 5.99% B: 0.23%) Cubeless Equities No Double: +0.457 Double: +1.190 Cubeful Equities No Double: +0.881 (-0.119) Double/Take: +1.035 (+0.035) Double/Drop: +1.000 Best Cube action: Double / Drop Rollout details 7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 plyConfidence No Double: ± 0.007 (+0.874...+0.889) Confidence Double: ± 0.009 (+1.026...+1.044) Double Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 4 hours 45 minutes 12 seconds eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.10.pre-release
XG thinks this is a close pass on plies 1-4 but XGR and XGR+ both think it is a close take. (XGR+ rates it .992) but no serious mistakes here as it is reasonbly close.
GNU thinks clear .93x take on 2 and 4 ply and drop on 3 ply.
Snowie thinks 1.000 but a take...ie .999x
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