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Las Vegas #1

Posted By: Klaus Evers
Date: Friday, 6 November 2009, at 9:14 p.m.

In Response To: Las Vegas #1 (Jason Lee)

I count 26 closers. 10 don't make the 2pt.

Lets suppose white hits 1/3rd of the 10 non-closers and wins all games from here.

This results in ~10% wins for white.

In reality it might be less: blue does not cover the 2pt blot and white does NOT always wins when he hits.

Cashpoint for recube to 4 at 3a-6a is ~89%, therefore white would need >11% to take.

result (for me) : D/P here.

I hope my analysis is not too far off, I didn't check the previous answers.

what happened in the match?

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