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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout + Commentary
Posted By: Stick In Response To: Ballard v. Sylvester (Stick)
Date: Wednesday, 16 May 2007, at 9:14 a.m.
Kit says: Even though he leaves another blot, Sylvester must start to develop his positiion by starting the 11 point. Heaping a sixth man on the six point would be just awful -- Sylvester would never get his game started. Ugly looking plays such as that should be avoided at all costs.
Stick adds: I will extend this rollout & repost it. I believe the 'ugly' 8/6 may be correct here. I had it rolled out but my computer went all cokehead and rebooted before I could save it.
The score (after 1 game) is: Nack 1, Joe 0 (match to 19 points)
Move number 8: Joe to play 23
Nack 154
Joe 151 Position ID: aOfBgCHg8+ADIA Match ID: cAltAhAAAAAA
• Joe moves 24/21* 13/11
# Ply Move Equity • 1 R 24/21* 13/11 -0.1974
0.4624 0.1206 0.0068 - 0.5376 0.1746 0.0072 -0.1314 -0.1974 0.0057 0.0055 0.0012 - 0.0057 0.0063 0.0035 0.0162 0.0406 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 108 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1063319511 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 24/21* 8/6 -0.2117 ( -0.0143)
0.4667 0.1084 0.0052 - 0.5333 0.1685 0.0066 -0.1296 -0.2117 0.0066 0.0055 0.0011 - 0.0066 0.0069 0.0016 0.0194 0.0460 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 108 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1063319511 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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