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Hickey vs. Fetterlein, Position 1 OTB +Rollout

Posted By: joolesf
Date: Wednesday, 11 November 2009, at 12:09 a.m.

In Response To: Hickey vs. Fetterlein, Second Round (I think), Position 1 (Bill Riles)

OTB I knew 1234 v 112 was a take for money so this is obviously a very easy take . I knew 112 v 25 is a close redouble for money and with a take point of about 25% on the recube, would be slightly worse since I don't get to recube to 8. If I miss on roll 1 I will pass the redouble in a 2 roll position (86:14).

OTB I thought that since Mary doesn't get in an efficient recube close to the 25% drop point that I should recube. Inexplicably I never looked at my rolling 21 which gives her the best recube vig.

I did a Snowie rollout (2192 games, cubeful, cube 3 ply) which shows no double is correct by 18 millipoints and I need 2% wrong passes to justify it.

When I told Mary the results she said there was no way she'd be passing but was too polite to say what she was probably thinking, that a pass was about as likely as USA rejoining the British Empire.

Messages In This Thread

• Hickey vs. Fetterlein, Second Round (I think), Position 1
  Bill Riles -- Monday, 9 November 2009, at 10:39 p.m.
  • Hickey vs. Fetterlein, Second Round (I think), Position 1
    Frank_N_Stein -- Monday, 9 November 2009, at 10:56 p.m.
  • Hickey vs. Fetterlein, Second Round (I think), Position 1
    Joe Russell -- Tuesday, 10 November 2009, at 12:41 a.m.
  • Hickey vs. Fetterlein, Second Round (I think), Position 1
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 10 November 2009, at 10:34 p.m.
  • Hickey vs. Fetterlein, Second Round (I think), Position 1
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 10 November 2009, at 10:51 p.m.
  • Hickey vs. Fetterlein, Position 1 OTB +Rollout
    joolesf -- Wednesday, 11 November 2009, at 12:09 a.m.
    • GNU 7 ply eval w/new MET
      neilkaz -- Wednesday, 11 November 2009, at 4:23 a.m.