OTB I just didn't think that my lone back checker wanted to be on the 23 pt where it can get into more trouble long term so I played 13/10 risking 3 more shots but also adding a builder for my 4 pt. However, it seems the extra shots (although 33 is good anyhow) combined with the duped 64 likely make the unusual advance a tad better.
OTB I was hit with 33 soon doubled into a close take and turned the game around to take a 10-4 lead.

              
    
              
 | is Player 2
score: 4 pip: 161 | | 13 point match | pip: 148 score: 8
is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-b-B--D-B---cFb--c-cb---A-:0:0:1:12:8:4:0:13:10 |
to play 12 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/23 13/11 | eq: -0.240 |
| Player: Opponent: | 47.58% (G:14.20% B:1.19%) 52.42% (G:15.36% B:0.68%) | Conf: ± 0.008 (-0.248...-0.232) Duration: 8 hours 32 minutes 57 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout2 | 13/10 | eq: -0.248 (-0.008) |
| Player: Opponent: | 47.08% (G:14.75% B:1.21%) 52.92% (G:14.88% B:0.70%) | Conf: ± 0.008 (-0.256...-0.240) Duration: 8 hours 44 minutes 51 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout3 | 24/21 | eq: -0.280 (-0.041) |
| Player: Opponent: | 47.41% (G:13.68% B:1.33%) 52.59% (G:17.40% B:0.68%) | Conf: ± 0.014 (-0.294...-0.266) Duration: 1 hour 49 minutes 15 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout3 | 13/11 6/5 | eq: -0.281 (-0.041) |
| Player: Opponent: | 46.68% (G:13.76% B:1.19%) 53.32% (G:15.86% B:0.85%) | Conf: ± 0.016 (-0.297...-0.265) Duration: 1 hour 38 minutes 47 seconds |
|
| |
1 8668 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
2 8667 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
3 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.10, MET: GnuBG 11 point