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OTB and RO

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Tuesday, 8 December 2009, at 6:09 p.m.

In Response To: LA Master's Finals Cube #3 (yeah another boring technical cube) (neilkaz)

Up 8 pips and trailing somewhat in the match, I certainly had to recube inspite of gaps. While this position is slightly different than a true pip count since it is somewhat closer to a turn based race, my gap on the 5 pt gives Dorn a take as he quickly surmized. He took and rolled well and back came the cube in the position where he has 4 on his ace pt and I have 2 on my 4 pt.




is Player 2

score: 8
pip: 66
13 point match
pip: 58
score: 6

is Player 1
XGID=-BD-D-CB-----b-----abbdbb-:0:0:1:D:6:8:0:13:10
double to 2 take ?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
  Player Winning Chances: 75.36% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 24.64% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 75.32% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 24.68% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
 
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.507
Double:+1.043
 
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.796 (-0.120)
Double/Take:+0.916
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.084)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
 
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 4 ply
 
Confidence No Double: ± 0.002 (+0.793...+0.798)
Confidence Double: ± 0.004 (+0.913...+0.920)
 
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
 
Duration: 1 hour 45 minutes 57 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.10, MET: GnuBG 11 point

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