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BGonline.org Forums
Philosophical Question on 'Wrong D/P is not an Error'
Posted By: Steve Mellen In Response To: Philosophical Question on 'Wrong D/P is not an Error' (Christian Plenz)
Date: Tuesday, 8 December 2009, at 10:56 p.m.
I think the bots generally present this information in the correct way, which is to say: this double is a mistake unless your opponent will pass more than X% of the time. If a double is correct by this standard, then it's correct regardless of what your opponent actually does in practice.
There are rare cases where you absolutely know your opponent will drop the cube if you double (although even in those cases, most of us will be wrong some of the time). But otherwise, you're generally making an educated guess as to how likely it is that you'll get an incorrect pass. It's fuzzy thinking to evaluate your cube by the actual results and say "it was a correct double, because he passed," just as you would never say "it was a correct double, because I rolled 4-4 after he took." If it's a correct double, it's correct because you have a high enough chance of an incorrect pass to justify it.
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