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Double at this score?

Posted By: Joe Russell
Date: Thursday, 10 December 2009, at 1:31 a.m.

In Response To: Double at this score? (Joe Russell)

Here is the rollout. Rich has also done one on Xtreme and will post it as well.

The score (after 9 games) is: ez2bcubed 7, fnurt 7 (match to 11 points)

Move number 21: ez2bcubed on roll, cube decision?

ez2bcubed	106
fnurt	77
Position ID: vmUeBADZbQMDQA Match ID: MAFgAXAAOAAA

• ez2bcubed doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.354	(Money: +0.289)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.252
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.748
3.	No double	+0.230	-0.023
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.557 0.199 0.005 - 0.443 0.027 0.002 +0.354 +0.230 Standard error 0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.003 0.007 Player fnurt owns 2-cube 0.568 0.203 0.014 - 0.432 0.031 0.004 +1.091 +0.252 Standard error 0.001 0.002 0.002 - 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.009 0.011
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 842156189 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Double at this score?
  Joe Russell -- Wednesday, 9 December 2009, at 7:05 a.m.
  • Double at this score?
    Chiva Tafazzoli -- Wednesday, 9 December 2009, at 5:31 p.m.
  • Double at this score?
    garyo -- Wednesday, 9 December 2009, at 6:13 p.m.
    • Double at this score?
      neilkaz -- Wednesday, 9 December 2009, at 6:17 p.m.
      • Double at this score?
        Joe Russell -- Thursday, 10 December 2009, at 1:38 a.m.
  • Double at this score?
    Rich Munitz -- Wednesday, 9 December 2009, at 6:31 p.m.
  • Double at this score?
    Steve Mellen -- Wednesday, 9 December 2009, at 6:39 p.m.
  • Double at this score?
    Joe Russell -- Thursday, 10 December 2009, at 1:31 a.m.
    • Double at this score? - XG Rollout
      Rich Munitz -- Thursday, 10 December 2009, at 2:45 a.m.