[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Philosophical Question on 'Wrong D/P is not an Error'

Posted By: Robert Maier
Date: Friday, 11 December 2009, at 6:11 p.m.

In Response To: Philosophical Question on 'Wrong D/P is not an Error' (Bob Koca)

I don't recall saying anything about knowing that my opponent would pass, only that I believe that's it reasonable to assign a probability to that possibility, and then do the math to arrive at the correct decision about whether or not to make a wrong/dubious double. If you wish to extend the calculations to determine the no double equity by considering the 1296 no double outcomes and adjusting those equities for the possibility of wrong passes of subsequent doubles, that would be dandy. At least we would be acknowledging that factoring in the probability of mistakes has some value. Some want to maintain that this entire concept is invalid, or silly, or smacks of unjustified cleverness. I wonder if it's just not an extension of Woolsey's law, or rule, I forget which. He said, if you don't know if it's a take or pass it must be a double, something like that? Perhaps more accurate would be, if you don't know if *your opponent* knows if it's a take or pass it must be a double. Must be a stronger double if it's your opponent who's in the dark rather than yourself, no?

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.