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OTB and RO

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Monday, 14 December 2009, at 11:23 p.m.

In Response To: Down 6 pips..can I take? (neilkaz)

OTB I thought this was a borderline drop/take due to Black's gaps and some fly shot chances, but it doesn't seem hard to play for Black and I am a clear 200 elo stronger than this opp, who also doesn't really know to cube sooner or pass sooner from -3-3 so I feel that my pass is clear, inspite of the somewhat surprising RO indicating a definate technical take.




is ReMazza

score: 1
pip: 70
5 point match
pip: 76
score: 2

is neilkaz
XGID=-ABDCBB---------b-bd--bcbA:0:0:-1:00:2:1:0:5:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 76.89% (G: 0.88% B: 0.01%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 23.11% (G: 0.43% B: 0.01%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 76.98% (G: 0.83% B: 0.02%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 23.02% (G: 0.44% B: 0.01%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.541
Double:+1.071
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.746 (-0.199)
Double/Take:+0.945
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.055)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
12960 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3 ply, cube decisions: 4 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.002 (+0.745...+0.748)
Confidence Double: ± 0.003 (+0.943...+0.948)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 43 minutes 12 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.10, MET: GnuBG 11 point

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