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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 17 December 2009, at 2:24 p.m.

In Response To: Pay dat man his money (Stick)

I thought this was clear, as did GNU, though we disagreed on the choice of plays. GNU's rollout corrects its 2 ply analysis which had not paying now as correct by over .030. FWIW XG gets this right on 3 ply, but don't be too impressed, on XGR it reverses to not paying off as being correct.

The score (after 4 games) is: jukins 4, Stick 2 (match to 7 points)

jukins117


 ' '2X3X3X3X ' ' ' ' '2O

2O2O2O2O2X3O '2O ' ' '2X

Stick80

Position ID: 7O6AAQPb5gwGAA Match ID: QYnyAEAAEAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 13/9 13/8 +0.3427
 
0.69300.03120.0000-0.30700.01560.0003 +0.4189 +0.3427
0.00140.00120.0043-0.00140.00260.0001 0.0030 0.0045
 
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  543 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 839714468 and quasi-random dice  
  Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 R 8/4 8/3 +0.3224 ( -0.0203)
 
0.67860.04230.0008-0.32140.02930.0010 +0.3948 +0.3224
0.00150.00180.0001-0.00150.00290.0004 0.0037 0.0045
 
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  544 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 839714468 and quasi-random dice  
  Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

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