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Rollout

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Saturday, 19 December 2009, at 2:40 a.m.

In Response To: Money game: Blue to move 61 (Timothy Chow)

13/6 is hugely correct. Over the board I slotted. I knew that as a general rule, being a lot behind in the race would point towards slotting and being a lot ahead in the race would point towards stacking, but here I thought I was only slightly ahead in the race and that I desperately needed flexibility. However, even after stacking, my position isn't that inflexible, so the double shot is just not worth it.

gnubg	150
tchow	149
Position ID: hufgASTg2+ADIA Match ID: cIkYACAAEAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	13/6	+0.114
			0.537 0.111 0.004 - 0.463 0.122 0.003 +0.066 +0.114 0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.003 0.008
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 839712934 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	13/7 6/5	-0.000 ( -0.114)
			0.508 0.121 0.005 - 0.492 0.150 0.005 -0.013 -0.000 0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.004 0.010
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 839712934 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	13/7 8/7	-0.196 ( -0.310)
			0.459 0.103 0.004 - 0.541 0.155 0.004 -0.135 -0.196 0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.004 0.009
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 839712934 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	R	8/7 8/2	-0.200 ( -0.314)
			0.460 0.110 0.004 - 0.540 0.179 0.006 -0.151 -0.200 0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.004 0.009
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 839712934 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Money game: Blue to move 61
  Timothy Chow -- Friday, 18 December 2009, at 1:25 a.m.
  • Money game: Blue to move 61
    John O'Hagan -- Friday, 18 December 2009, at 2:03 a.m.
    • Money game: Blue to move 61
      neilkaz -- Friday, 18 December 2009, at 3:12 a.m.
  • Money game: Blue to move 61
    Seth -- Friday, 18 December 2009, at 3:51 a.m.
  • Money game: Blue to move 61
    Chuck Bower -- Friday, 18 December 2009, at 5:41 p.m.
  • 65R-64P-61P-52S-61
    Nack Ballard -- Friday, 18 December 2009, at 8:56 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 19 December 2009, at 2:40 a.m.