Clearly any paying is foolish (I did look at it though!), and I cant really see a reason for playing 7/5. I suppose if pressed I would expect its because its an extra builder (you are willing to sacrifice the 7pt to go pointing on blots, but no other sacrifice). In my mind this was a priming attempt, with some blitzy opportunities for when Neil breaks cover.
          
    
         
 |  is neilkaz
score: 1
pip: 126 | | 11 point match | pip: 128
score: 5
 is baa_kilted |
|
| XGID=---b-BDCC----Ab--bBdbab---:0:0:1:52:5:1:0:11:10 |
| to play 52 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/8 7/5 | eq: +0.480 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 63.07% (G:8.67% B:0.28%)
36.93% (G:5.01% B:0.18%) | Conf: ± 0.014 (+0.466...+0.494)
Duration: 2 minutes 46 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/6 | eq: +0.448 (-0.032) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 62.29% (G:8.85% B:0.32%)
37.71% (G:5.12% B:0.18%) | Conf: ± 0.015 (+0.433...+0.463)
Duration: 2 minutes 40 seconds |
|
| 3. | 3 ply | 13/11 7/2 | eq: +0.328 (-0.152) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 61.90% (G:7.87% B:0.20%)
38.10% (G:6.15% B:0.13%) | |
|
| 4. | 3 ply | 7/5 6/1 | eq: +0.314 (-0.166) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 61.42% (G:8.59% B:0.21%)
38.58% (G:6.52% B:0.13%) | |
|
| 5. | 3 ply | 13/11 6/1 | eq: +0.306 (-0.174) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 61.12% (G:8.71% B:0.22%)
38.88% (G:6.51% B:0.13%) | |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.11, MET: GnuBG 11 point